Newsletter - February 24, 2003
Who
says Regent is history?
By
Steve Shellum, Publisher/Editor, HOTEL Asia Pacific
The
Asian-born chain suffered a big blow when it lost its world-famous Hong
Kong flagship. But the brand’s new Asia Pacific boss, Paul Kirwin, has
already scored a major coup in the region – and promises many more ahead
Just when
you think Regent is a spent force in the luxury-hotel sector, it comes up
fighting with a coup that signals to the industry: “We’re very much
alive and kicking!”
Many in
the industry believed the writing was on the wall when the Asian-born
brand lost the world-renowned Regent Hong Kong to global giant Six
Continents.
Overnight,
the Regent flag was lowered from the magnificent property that had given
birth to the brand in the late ‘70s and upon which it had built its
reputation as one of the world’s most admired hotel companies.
US-based,
privately-owned Carlson Hotels Worldwide – which also owns the Radisson
and Country Inns & Suites brands – acquired the rights to the Regent
name in 1997 from Canada’s Four Seasons, and quickly unveiled a strategy
to embark on a “selective global growth programme”.
Its plan
was to “enter new markets and offer expanded, worldwide presence in the
luxury- hotel category”.
But
growth has been slow, with most of the properties in its portfolio having
been developed in the pre-Carlson days.
At
present, Regent hotels and resorts are located in Bangkok, Chiang Mai,
Jakarta, Kuala Lumpur, Singapore, Taipei, Almaty (Kazakhstan), Beverly
Hills and New York.
It debuted in Europe earlier this
year with the Regent Schlosshotel, Berlin, and has a property on
France’s Cote D’Azur under development, as well as two more in the US
(Boston and Orlando).
But, with its swift exit from the crucial Hong Kong market
where it was born, and the likely rebranding of its Chiang Mai property as
a Four Seasons, you could be excused for thinking that the once-mighty
Regent brand has lost its way a little in Asia Pacific.
Indeed,
when a group of industry leaders at the recent Hotel Investment Conference
Asia Pacific (HICAP) in Hong Kong were asked: “Which brand to you
believe will have disappeared over the next five years?”, one hotel CEO
answered, without hesitation: “Regent”.
Ouch!
But
sitting in the audience and smiling to himself was Paul Kirwin, MD of the
newly created Carlson Hotels Asia Pacific.
During
a press conference a couple of hours later, he and his boss, Carlson
Hotels Worldwide president Jay Witzel, announced an impressive new
property that had many at the conference eating their words – the Regent
Beijing at Junefield Plaza, near Tiananmen Square.
The
377-room property, scheduled to open in 2004, is the first major
development to be announced by Carlson Hotels Asia Pacific, which has been
set up as part of the company’s restructuring into three distinct
geographical regions: the Americas, Asia Pacific and Europe.
The
announcement of the Beijing property sent a clear message to the industry
that the Regent brand is not only alive in Asia Pacific – but kicking.
With
a whole roster of other brands to choose from, why did the owners, the
Hong Kong-based Junefield group, go with Regent at a time when it appeared
to many to be undergoing something of an identity crisis?
“Regent
International Hotels is the perfect luxury brand to bring to this most
prominent area of central Beijing,” says chairman Zhou Jian He.
“Choosing
the right hotel company for this project was critical, and Regent brings
the right level of prestige, personalised service and uncompromising
commitment to quality.”
So
there you have it – as far as this particular owner is concerned, the
30-year-old brand can still deliver the goods in the luxury-hotel market.
The
reorganisation of Carlson Hotels puts Asia Pacific, for the first time, on
a par with the Americas and Europe in terms of importance and future
development.
When
asked what percentage of future growth will come from the region, Witzel
answers: “If North America accounts for 33%, and Europe 33%, then Asia
Pacific will also account for 33%.”
He
pauses for a second, then corrects himself: “No, Asia Pacific will
account for more than that, perhaps up to 35%.
New
vision
“Although
several of our brands have had operations in Asia Pacific for many years,
we recognise the potential that can be achieved by developing a new
structure and vision for the region.”
Expanding
Regent and the company’s other brands in the region is now a key
priority for the company.
“The
restructure moves the organisation to operate as one company with
complementary and well-defined brands,” says Kirwin.
“It
represents an evolution from
the past structure where we operated many areas of our business
independently within each brand.
“It
will allow us to provide the most effective and efficient levels of
support for our brands so we can focus on delivering world-class customer
service.
“We
will build upon our existing infrastructure of support systems to provide
powerful resources to our hotels in the areas of business delivery,
reservations, marketing, sales and operational support.”
An
important element of the restructuring is to maintain a major
regional-office presence in Sydney, Hong Kong and Tokyo.
Carlson
plans to “aggressively pursue” developments across all its brands in
North Asia, particularly in China, through strategic partnerships, and to
increase the number of properties from the current 37 locations to 100
over the next five years.
Specific
development plans for the region include adding Regent hotels in major
gateways where it is absent, particularly Tokyo, Seoul, Shanghai, Sydney,
Melbourne and Auckland.
And,
of course, Hong Kong.
Returning
to the city of its birth remains a top priority for the Regent brand, and
Kirwin is in negotiations with a number of owners to re-establish the
Regent brand there.
“There
is huge brand equity in the Regent name in Hong Kong, and several
developers have expressed an interest in being a part of its return to the
city,” says Kirwin.
Kirwin
also has his sights set on leisure destinations for Regent (and Radisson),
including: Indonesia (Bali, Bintan Island and Lombok); Thailand (Chiang
Mai and Phuket); Malaysia (Langkawi); and Vietnam (Ho Chi Minh City, Dalat,
Ha Long Bay and Hoi An).
‘Asian-ness’
Although
Regent was born in Asia and emphasises its “Asian-ness” as an integral
aspect of its character and values, it is now very much a US company –
the last of its head-office functions, including global marketing and PR,
were moved from Hong Kong to Minneapolis two years ago.
Has
it lost the edge compared with other Asian-based brands, including
Shangri-La, Mandarin Oriental, Raffles International and the Peninsula
Group, which remain truly Asian brands with global aspirations, rather
than one of the multitude of US and Europe homogenised chains?
In
short, can a brand that is based in mid-America, that is owned by a
company that has only just decided to open up a regional HQ in Asia and is
managed by American hoteliers, really justify clinging to its Asian
heritage as a marketing advantage? Some cynics might argue that Regent has
lost touch with its Asian roots and is now, in fact, just another US-based
hotel company with ambitious aspirations in Asia.
The
Regent history is one still in the making. It’s kind of like an
“Amer-Asian” returning from the US to rediscover her roots.
But,
as many a returnee has found, things are never quite the same when they
return.
It
will be interesting to see how long it takes for Regent to find a new home
in its old home town.
Brierley
group considers offer for Thistle Hotels
Thistle hotels
yesterday joined the list of British hoteliers being stalked by would-be
predators after BIL International, its majority shareholder, admitted it
was considering making an offer.
BIL, a
Singapore-based investment group, said its board was considering launching
a bid "at a modest premium" to Thistle's share price as of
Thursday's close of 100p. It is thought that BIL, whose president is the
New Zealand entrepreneur Sir Ron Brierley, was forced by the Takeover
Panel to issue a statement in response to a sharp rise in Thistle's share
price. Thistle's stock climbed 7.5 per cent to 107.5p, valuing the group
at just under £520m.
In response,
Thistle said it had "not received any formal approach from BIL
regarding a possible offer". Ian Burke, its chief executive, has come
under fire for dithering about what to do with £600m he raised in April
by selling 37 of its hotels but while retaining the management rights.
BIL, which
floated Thistle in 1996 at 170p a share, said there could be "no
assurance that any offer will be forthcoming". It has a 46 per cent
stake in Thistle.
This is the
second time in four months that Thistle has been the subject of takeover
speculation. Last month, Orb Estates, a Jersey-based investment group that
bought the 37 Thistle sites in March, decided against a bid for the London
hotelier.
Peter Joseph,
an analyst at KBC Peel Hunt, said: "The group has got itself in a
pickle over its balance sheet but I can't understand why it's worth less
than 150p to 175p per share."
US groups
seen interested in Six Continent Hotels
(Reuters) - Two major U.S. lodging
companies, Sheraton owner Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. (nyse:
HOT - news - people) and Strategic Hotel Capital, the largest private U.S.
hotel owner, are interested in buying some or all of the lodging business
of Britain's Six Continents Plc , industry sources said on Thursday.
Six Continents is planning to break itself up into a hotel business and a
restaurant and pubs business, but British entrepreneur Hugh Osmond has
said he may make a bid for the entire group.
Six Continents, the world's largest international hotel group, owns
well-known lodging brands such as franchiser Holiday Inn and upscale
groups InterContinental and Crowne Plaza, and the fate of the lodging
group after a demerger has been a fertile source of speculation for the
industry.
"If the company goes into play, we are naturally very sophisticated
and obviously very interested," Laurence Geller, chief executive of
Strategic, said in a telephone interview. His company has just closed
$1.17 billion in new debt financing, he said.
"Our prime focus would be the real estate -- all of it," he
said.
A source familiar with the situation also said that Starwood had opened
preliminary talks on acquiring one or more of the hotel assets. A Starwood
spokesman said the company does not comment on such issues as a matter of
policy.
It was not clear if Starwood had spoken with Osmond or directly with Six
Continents, which was formed after Britain's Bass group sold off its
brewing operations.
Analysts believe that other major hotel companies might also show interest
in the assets, if they become available. One analyst named Marriott
International (nyse: MAR - news - people) and Hilton Group Plc as
potential bidders. Hilton has dismissed the possibility, while Marriott
was not immediately available for comment. (Additional reporting by Peter
Henderson)
Reuters News Service
Franchisees of Six
Continents Hotels Extremely Concerned About Rumored Hostile Takeover
/Business Wire/ - The IAHI, The Owners'
Association of Six Continents Hotels, announces today their extreme concern
regarding rumored hostile takeover bids for Six Continents, PLC.
According to Jay Fishman, Chairman, IAHI Board of Directors,
"We believe this would be the absolute worst time for change of control
with the company.
We are in the weakest business
environment in the history of the modern hotel industry." He adds,
"Franchisees have spent quality time with Richard North, Steve Porter and
the leadership team at Six Continents Hotels and believe they have a strong
vision for where they want to take the hotel group."
Another member of the IAHI Executive Committee, Roy Adilman,
said "We've been down this road before. In 1987 when Donald Trump tried
to take over the company it led to a massive restructuring of the company and
lots of upheaval, which had a negative impact on franchise service levels. I
believe that is when we started to have some of the system quality problems
that we are just now, 15 years later, beginning to overcome."
Fishman further points out that owners' operations would be
jeopardized by a break-up of the hotel group which would destroy the synergies
of the Priority Club Rewards program, a common reservation system, the equity
of the internet sites, preferred vendor relationships, strategic alliances and
more.
Fishman further states that there was strong sentiment
amongst the association's executive committee that many franchisees would
seriously consider terminating their license agreements and leave the system
in the event of a takeover and/or breakup of the company.
Fishman also says, "The IAHI supports Richard North and
the proposed demerger of the hotels and restaurant groups."
War of words
over Six Continents
Punch founder slates record of pubs to hotels group and threatens to
launch hostile bid
Hugh Osmond, the leisure entrepreneur stalking Six Continents, yesterday
revealed he would consider making a hostile takeover bid for the hotel and
pub operator as he launched an outspoken attack on the group's management
team.
Mr Osmond, who would use his AIM-listed cash shell Capital Management
& Investment as a bid vehicle, said he would appeal direct to Six
Continents' shareholders "if necessary".
In a statement that fleshed out Mr Osmond's rationale for tabling a
possible bid for Six Continents, the former head of Punch Taverns
criticised the leisure group's plans to press ahead with a scheme to spin
off its pubs arm as not being in shareholders' best interests. A demerger
would achieve "absolutely nothing", he said, adding: "If we
make this bid, believe me, we will fundamentally improve this
business."
CMI, who has hired Credit Suisse First Boston and Lehman Brothers as its
financial advisers, said if successful it would break up the hotels
division, which spans brands such as InterContinental and Holiday Inn. It
plans to pursue a number of financial transactions to unlock cash from the
group's fixed asset base worth some £7.6bn such as asset sales,
sale-and-leasebacks and securitising the cash flow.
Mr Osmond said he had "substantive discussions" with a number of
possible partners although he declined to give names. "There are
operators who can run this business substantially better by breaking it
into separate parts. Whether we deal with them as buyers, partners or
managers we will see."
He attacked the Six Continents board, headed by Sir Ian Prosser, for
delivering "unacceptably low returns". He criticised it for
selling businesses such as Gala, the gaming group, too cheaply, for
destroying shareholder value through its £1.8bn acquisition of
InterContinental, and for investing a net £2.8bn in its business since
1998 only to see operating profits fall. "Since 1989, not to have
achieved any growth in the share price is quite an achievement," he
added.
Responding to CMI's accusations, Six Continents said the shell company had
"chosen to ignore the fact that in terms of total shareholder return
[we have] outperformed the FTSE 100 over the last one, two, three, five
and 10 years". In a statement, Six Continents attacked CMI's approach
as "fundamentally flawed", highlighting its lack of experience
in the hotels sector.
Richard North, Six Continents' finance director who will step up to become
chief executive of the hotels arm, said: "The key thing is at the end
of the day shareholders have seen value through the performance of the
share price and the dividend." He added: "We have absolutely
thrashed [the US hotel companies] in terms of total shareholder return
over the same period."
Shares in Six Continents soared 25.5p to 615.5p on hopes that CMI's
interest could spark a bidding frenzy akin to that under way for Safeway,
the supermarket chain. Analysts have been split about possible valuations
for the leisure group, with some suggesting Mr Osmond could bid 650p a
share and others arguing that the group is worth nearer 850p a share. At
the higher end, the group's equity would be worth £7.4bn. It also has £2.5bn
of debt.
Mr Osmond, who first approached Six Continents in October about a possible
deal involving its retail estate, remained tight-lipped about how he
intended to structure a deal. However, he admitted: "We are using CMI
not least because of its ability to issue stock." He added: "It
is very much our intention that shareholders participate fully in the
upside of this business."
Despite the lack of detail about an offer, several large shareholders have
signalled their inclination to back Mr Osmond. "We would be very
interested in listening to Mr Osmond. There is clearly a feeling among
shareholders that something needs to happen with this business; this has
acted as the catalyst," Helen Driver, at Standard Life Investments,
one of Six Continents' largest 10 investors, said.
Defending his decision not to outline his funding plans, Mr Osmond
referred to the £2.75bn battle he fought against Whitbread to gain
control of the former Allied Domecq pub estate. "I don't want that
track record to be blemished by a frivolous bid," he said, adding:
"I'm not big on making promises and not delivering on them."
In an attempt to shoot down Mr Osmond's tentative plans, Six Continents
revealed it had rejected an approach from the entrepreneur's private
equity group, Sun Capital Partners, last year. The proposal, which
involved a sale-and-leaseback deal for the group's 2,200 pubs, was
rejected after Six Continents' advisers concluded "material value
would have been transferred from [our] shareholders to Sun Capital".
One element of that proposal would have seen Mr Osmond reverse Spirit, the
managed pubs company spun out of Punch Taverns, into the Six Continents
retail estate. Mr Osmond is a shareholder in both Punch and Spirit, and
sits on Spirit's board.
Rebutting suggestions from Mr Osmond that Six Continents had been
"extremely resistant to approaches", Mr North said he would talk
to "anybody who comes to us with a proposal that properly reflects
value and looks deliverable".
Commenting on his plans, Mr Osmond said: "There will be a hell of a
lot more value than this management has generated over the last 10 years,
or is likely to generate over the next 10 years, or ever." He added:
"I don't recall Mr North having a lot of experience in hotels."
Any takeover offer from CMI would be conditional on shareholders rejecting
the proposed demerger, it said. CMI is under pressure to table a bid
quickly, ahead of the Six Continents' shareholder meeting scheduled for 12
March to approve the separation.
To get around the fact that most institutional investors are unable to
hold AIM-listed paper, CMI said it intended to seek a full stock market
listing after the completion of any offer.
Mr Osmond denied that he was seeking to flush out possible partners by
issuing statements about his intention to launch a bid before revealing
whether he could get financial backing for an offer.
Charge sheet against Sir Ian Prosser, according to Hugh Osmond
* Attacked board for delivering "unacceptably low returns over recent
years";
* Blamed board for selling assets, such as its Gala gaming business, too
cheaply. Gala, which originally fetched £236m, was recently sold on for
£1.24bn;
* Claimed board had invested a net £2.8bn in Six Continents since 1998 to
see operating profits fall by £217m;
* Accused board of shelling out £1.8bn on InterContinental, yet letting
the upmarket hotels group destroy shareholder value in every year since
its acquisition;
* Blamed board's decision to hike net debt and use disposal proceeds to
maintain dividends only to slash payout by 38 per cent post-demerger;
* Attacked fall in share price that has seen stock slide to the level of
mid
Arabian
Travel Market (ATM) on course for yet another record breaking year
Reed Travel
Exhibitions (RTE), which organises Arabian Travel Market, the Middle
East's premier travel and tourism show, says this year's event is
"well on track to be the biggest show to date."
"It is
safe to say that, to date, the uncertainty in the region has not affected
Arabian Travel Market," said Matt Thompson, Group Exhibition
Director, Overseas Events, RTE.
RTE says that
with three months to go before the 2003 Arabian Travel Market, which will
be held at the Airport Expo, Dubai, United Arab Emirates from May 6-9, the
show is already already 5% square metres larger than last year's
record-breaking event.
"Much of
this space growth is taken by tourism boards which are increasing the size
of their stands to meet demand from the private sector," explained
Thompson. "Moreover, we are welcoming a number of fresh exhibitors
to the show with new national pavilions from Saudi Arabia and Canada
and the return of a Ugandan national pavilion after a break of seven
years."
Visitor
expectations also remain unhindered by regional uncertainties, according
to Thompson.
"We
recently started our visitor promotional campaign and the early indication
is that our pre-registration figures are on track to match those of last
year," he said.
Thompson
stressed that Arabian Travel Market, now in its 10th year, was proceeding
very much as "business as usual.
"Everything
is going to plan," he said. "Of course, we are monitoring events
in the region very closely, and, like everyone, we sincerely hope that
tensions do not escalate. However, if they do, I believe that we will have
some fallout from the show, which is understandable. But I do not believe
that it will have a truly detrimental effect on the event.
"At the
moment Arabian Travel Market is in a very healthy position and booking
trends over the last few weeks have been very positive."
To date,
exhibitors from 47 countries have registered for Arabian Travel Market
2003, including destinations, tour operators, hotel groups, national
tourist boards, travel technology providers, airlines, industry
associations, yachting and cruise operators and tourism consultants.
Best
Western to Add 400 New Hotels in 2003
/PRNewswire/ --
Best Western expects to hold its position as THE WORLD'S LARGEST HOTEL
CHAIN(R) with a robust global expansion plan in 2003. Over the past few
years, Best Western's development team will continue its growth strategy
by targeting key international and domestic gateways as well as geographic
locations where the brand is under represented. The addition of a new
development focused website will also aid efforts.
Coming off of a
successful year despite difficult economic conditions, the brand added 282
hotels to its global portfolio in 2002. In 2003, the company plans to add
400 new hotels worldwide.
In North
America, Best Western anticipates adding another 155 properties. That
number breaks down to approximately 35 percent new construction and the
remaining 65 percent focusing on conversions.
Hotels expected
to become active Best Western properties in 2003 include: Phoenix West Inn
in Phoenix, Ariz., 126 rooms; Marina Inn in Dana Point, Calif., 137 rooms;
Oakland Park Inn in Ft. Lauderdale, Fla., 106 rooms; Robert Treat Hotel,
Newark, NJ, 169 rooms; the Albany hotel in Albany, NY, 132 rooms; Country
Squire Resort in Gananoque, Ontario, Canada, 68 rooms and the Clermont
hotel in Cincinnati, Ohio with 128 rooms.
"Best
Western's goal is not to over saturate crowded markets with excessive new
build projects," said Mark Williams, Best Western's vice president of
North American Development. "Instead, we will develop new hotels
where it is economically sound to do so."
"Our
growth strategy has been converting independent hotels and regional chains
that desire a national brand affiliation," he added. "Best
Western offers tremendous value in terms of services versus costs which
has made those efforts that much easier."
Internationally,
the brand just welcomed its first hotel in Bulgaria in January. The Best
Western City Hotel is located in the country's capital city Sofia, in the
heart of the business district. The brand new, four-star property features
36 guest rooms, onsite restaurant and meeting facilities.
Additions such
as these will be targeted in 2003 for a planned total of 245 new hotels.
Heavy emphasis will once again be placed on Asia and South America
according to Suzi MacDonald Yoder, Best Western's vice president of
International Operations.
"We will
continue our aggressive plans for development in China and hope to add at
least eight new properties there this year," said Yoder.
"Specifically, we're targeting cities such as Harbin, Guangzhou,
Shenyang, Beijing and Shenzhen."
A total of 20
new hotels are slated for Asia. In addition to Asia, Best Western is
committing significant resources in South America. Uncertain political and
economic conditions in the region forced a more conservative approach for
the area in 2002. However, company officials feel confident they can add
at least 24 branded properties on the continent this year with a heavy
focus on Brazil.
In other
regions, Best Western expects to add 25 hotels in Australia bolstered by
recent personnel additions to the country's business development team.
Other significant expansion is expected in Great Britain with the addition
of 18 hotels in 2003.
Development
efforts go online
To augment
development efforts, Best Western's team added a new section to the global
website at www.bestwestern.com/memdev . The site highlights advantages to
becoming a Best Western, benefits of membership, associated fees, hotel
design prototypes for potential developers, target market breakdowns and
regional contact information.
Best Western
International is THE WORLD'S LARGEST HOTEL CHAIN(R) with more than 4,000
hotels in 80 countries and territories. It is a membership association of
independently owned and operated hotels that provides marketing,
reservations and operational support to its member hotels.
For more
information about Best Western, visit the Best Western Newsroom at www.bestwestern.com/newsroom
.
Source:
Best Western
Half of
UK cities saw January revPAR fall
e-Tid.com -
Preliminary January data from Deloitte & Touche’s
HotelBenchmark report show average revenue per available room (revPAR)
declined at just under 50% of 19 UK cities surveyed.
Brighton and Aberdeen were the worst affected during the month. Brighton
recorded revPAR of £32, down 26% from the same month of 2002, which had
been boosted by two major pharmaceutical conferences in the city.
Aberdeen hotels, meanwhile, saw occupancy slump 14.9% year-on-year to
51.8%, while average room rates remained static at £50, which resulted in
revPAR down £4 from January 2002. Deloitte said uncertainty surrounding
the situation in Middle East was impacting hotel demand from the oil and
gas sector in Aberdeen.
Overall revPAR at regional hotels fell 2.5% to £33. While England
(excluding London) and Scotland saw performance worsen, Wales reported
growth.
Wales continued to be bolstered by Cardiff, which has benefited from
increased leisure traffic driven by events at the Millennium Stadium and
corporate demand from the Cardiff International Arena. Of the 19 cities
surveyed, Cardiff reported the strongest January revPAR growth of 11.4% to
£29.
Hotel
Expense Creep
The current
recession is affecting hotels in several ways that differ from how hotels
were affected by recessions in the past. While much has been written about
the terrible pain and suffering that has occurred in the hotel industry
from the ‘one-two punch’ of an economic downturn and unprecedented
catastrophic events in 2001, truthfully, hotels have barely a scratch on
them as we near the tenth round of 2002. By contrast, the hotel industry
was down for a ‘nine count’ from billions of dollars of losses during
the 1990-1991 recession.
Sure, some
hotel employees lost their jobs, a couple of small hotel companies needed
Chapter 11 protection, and revenues declined sharply in most gateway hotel
markets, but hotel profit margins felt only glancing blows. The Business
101 explanation – hotel expenses also declined, which moderated the
effects on net income and cash flow of revenue losses.
In response to
recent analyst inquiries, hotel industry executives claim that between 33
to 75 percent of the expense reductions achieved during the past twelve
months can be maintained as the industry recovers. Is it possible to
control expense creep as the hotel markets recover? If so, the climate for
hotel investing will be quite pleasant during the next few years if
occupancy and average daily rate move steadily upward, as expected.
What
Happened During 2001?
Each year, the
Hospitality Research Group (HRG) of PKF Consulting processes financial
statements for approximately 4,000 hotels for its Trends database. The
top-line and bottom-line results for 2001 appear disastrous when taken at
face value.
- Hotel
revenues down 9.9 percent
- Profits
down 19.4 percent
- Profit
margins down 10.5 percent
As
Yogi Berra once proclaimed about baseball “ Ninety percent of the game
is half mental.” Hence, another look at these data may provide a
different perspective. On the brighter side of the 2001 hotel financial
performance report card.
- Hotel
operating expenses down 5.2 percent
- Labor
costs, the largest expense for hotels, down 6.6 percent
- Interest
expenses down 9.0 percent
Although
hotel profits declined by nearly 20 percent, profits and profit margins
were at historic industry highs going into 2001. Profit margins fell from
32.8 percent to 29.4 percent. The decline in interest expense because of
refinancing at lower rates helped cushion the blow of revenue declines on
hotel before-tax cash flow.
As
a frame of reference, the historical average profit margin during the
40-year period 1960 through 2000 equals 25.3 percent. As another frame of
reference, Smith Travel Research estimates that industry profits reached
$16.7 billion in 2001. During 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, and 1991 the
hotel industry lost money.
What
is the History of Expense Creep Following Recession?
One
way to examine the question of whether or not expense creep will occur
along with a revenue recovery is to look at what happened after previous
recessions. The exhibit accompanying this article shows how revenues,
expenses, and operating profits changed during the three years following
the last five recessions. The data indicate that expense growth exceeded
revenue growth during some recoveries, and after others almost kept pace.
If history is any indicator of the future, hotel management will begin
spending coincidently with increasing revenue flows.
Expense
Creep Makes Sense on a Conceptual Level
Hotels,
the operating businesses, derive their revenue from an asset base that
consists of physical assets, financial capital, human capital, and
intangible assets. These assets need servicing to be productive, hence
operating expenses are always incurred as revenues grow. Management will
have some limited ability to hold the line on expenses, but similar to a
tired football team defense in the fourth quarter, management will have no
choice but cave under the pressure of competitive forces. The correlation
between the same-year revenue growth rate and labor expense growth rate
during the past 20 years, for example, equals an astounding 75 percent.
|
EXHIBIT
1
HOTEL REVENUE AND EXPENSE GROWTH
IN THE U.S AFTER RECESSIONS SINCE 1960
Average Annual Rates (Nominal) of Change for
Three Years Following Recession
|
|
RECESSION
PERIODS*
|
Room
Revenue
|
Operating
Expenses
|
Profits
|
|
July
1990 - March 1991
|
5.20%
|
3.53%
|
11.30%
|
|
January
1980 - July 1980 and July 1981 - November 1982
|
5.16%
|
6.03%
|
2.67%
|
|
November
1973 - March 1975
|
11.93%
|
9.70%
|
19.80%
|
|
December
1969 - November 1970
|
3.93%
|
5.83%
|
-6.27%
|
|
April
1960 - Februrary 1961
|
0.20%
|
1.13%
|
-3.20%
|
- As
defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research
Source: Hospitality Research Group of PKF Consulting
The
best hope management has to maintain expenses at any where near 2002
levels is to institute measures that improve the productivity of labor.
Ultimately, lowering expenses in some meaningful way involves substituting
cheap capital (i.e., technology) for more expensive labor. Unless you have
been with Tom Hanks on a deserted island for the past half-dozen years,
you know that this process has been occurring since the mid-1990s. With
over 40 percent of hotel expenses devoted to labor, management has the
incentive and now the opportunity to seriously evaluate technological
solutions to service needs before hiring more people.
John
B. (Jack) Corgel, Ph.D. is the Managing Director of Applied Research for
the Hospitality Research Group of PKF Consulting. He works in the
firm’s Atlanta office. This article was originally written for
Real Estate Forum magazine.
Bring
Back the Newsletter!!! We always need to share information.
Written By: Leora Halpern Lanz
& Barbara Wiener HVS
International
Sometimes, old habits shouldn’t die. Nor should
they fade away. However, over the last few years, print
communications has naturally evolved into HTML. Unfortunately, in
many cases due to declining revenues, marketing budgets have been slashed
or even evaporated. This has resulted in the disappearance of a
critically important though underestimated public relations tool — the
newsletter.
When crafted properly, newsletters are a cost-effective
way to deliver the right messages to the right audiences.
Newsletters can help a firm establish both credibility and authority.
They can enhance an organization’s image. They can build customer,
employee and team loyalty, simply by keeping audiences better informed
about an establishment. A key sales and marketing tool, newsletters
can help introduce or sell a product or service. And, by creating
good will and keeping one’s name out in front of customers, they can
also potentially increase business.
Newsletters can work wonders
Smart hotels and their parent companies recognize the
value of internal communications and the necessity of networking with
their various publics. Consider these points and decide if now is
the time for your organization to benefit from producing a newsletter.
·
Do you share all the necessary information with your various
publics?
·
Do you regularly communicate with management and owners in a
tangible format?
·
Do you regularly communicate with a vehicle that can
maintain some shelf life so that everyone can refer to it when necessary?
·
Despite what we might assume, not everyone has access to a
computer. For example, on property, do all line and management staff
have personal e-mail addresses and access to memos on the computer?
(Probably not.)
·
Are all staff English speakers? (Probably not.)
Creating
more attention
Newsletters
allow us to translate important messages so that we can clearly talk to
our employees, owners, and guests. In addition, newsletter articles
can frequently be transformed into media releases and thus earn more
publicity and attention for items of human interest
Whether
electronic or print, newsletters can encourage readership participation.
For example, they can provide the opportunity to recommend useful Internet
sites or books and articles of interest.
Tricks of
the trade
Newsletters can
be very simple and brief — but they must be carefully and methodically
assembled. They, in a word, have to be “good” in order to be
effective. One cannot just place words on a sheet of paper.
The contents must be focused, powerful, intriguing and informative, and
the layout needs to be clean and easy to navigate. Remember, the
contents must be useful, readable, user friendly, and—to maintain
readership interest —interactive.
One of the key
things to remember when drafting your newsletter is to strive for tight
copy. People often claim that they have no time to read lengthy articles,
and so they tend only to peruse the piece rather than read it in its
entirety. Therefore, by using effective headlines, photo captions and
blurbs, your message can come through quickly and clearly.
A regular
newsletter not only helps a company to continually refine its marketing
objectives and messages; it can actually help encourage the team to feel
connected by “pulling” a company together and bringing employees that
much closer to the firm’s decision makers.
If you wish to
revive your public relations efforts through the use of newsletters, or
for us to review and enhance your existing internal communications pieces,
do let us know.
Leora
Halpern Lanz
HVS International
372 Willis Avenue
Mineola, NY 11501
516-248-8828, ext. 278
516-742-3059 Fax
ICCA
congress to feature Asian experts
TTG Asia
- Delegates
at the ICCA (International Congress and Convention Association) annual
congress in Busan, Korea later
this year can expect a lineup of seminars and speakers with a distinctly
Asian touch.
Held from October
26-29, the congress will incorporate two major themes.
ICCA CEO, Mr Martin
Sirk, said: “One of the focuses will be on attracting high-level
Asian experts to be speakers. This region tends to focus on getting people
from Europe, but there is a lot of untapped expertise in Asia, which are
never considered. I would like to invite them to come and share their
experience.
“Secondly, we
will have a series tentatively called Critical Skills which will be at the
‘how-to’ level. The idea is to provide something for our members at
CEO level and those who are just starting out.”
Mr Sirk said it was
also a chance to focus on the Asian membership.
He said: “This
region has had the fastest growth for the past few years but it has a
mixture of maturity in the cities. We have Hong Kong, Singapore and
Bangkok which are very strong in MICE (meetings, incentives, conventions
and exhibitions) and secondary cities, such as Malacca, which are building
a convention centre but does not really have the business to justify it.
“They have to
hope that there is equal growth in demand which will depend greatly on the
regional markets. But I think once Asia gets past this economic downturn
it will be poised for growth. The main advantage is, unlike many cities in
Europe, what is here is state of the art.”
Australians
holidaying at home in uncertain times
Growth
figures released today by Australia’s leading online accommodation
company, Wotif.com, suggest independent Australian travellers are looking
to holiday at home as the likelihood of conflict looms in the Middle East.
Wotif.com,
a website offering Australians last-minute accommodation services
throughout 20 countries worldwide, suggests it is witnessing the greatest
swing towards domestic holiday bookings in its three year history.
While
sales to overseas destinations including New Zealand and Singapore have
posted sustained growth, it is Australia’s major tourism regions that
have benefited from the trend towards Australian travellers holidaying at
home. Sales in Wotif.com’s top five leisure destinations - Hunter
Valley, Sunshine Coast, Gold Coast, Yarra Valley, and South Coast NSW –
reported a minimum 40 per cent increase in the past month, a period when
local leisure bookings traditionally slow down and international bookings
pick up.
According
to Wotif.com CEO, Graeme Wood, although customers are not openly fearful
of overseas travel, they are increasingly opting for the security of
holidaying on home soil.
“Renewed
Australian interest in Bali attests to the fact that Australian travellers
are increasingly resilient in the face of turmoil, but at the same time
they aren’t willing to take chances for chances’ sake.”
“We
have seen much of our outbound business redirected into Australia. Aussies
are rediscovering Australia as a secure and convenient alternative to
overseas travel, and providing the industry with a much-needed boost.”
Although
the duration of the average holiday has decreased over the last six
months, Wood points out an increase in the frequency of domestic travel.
“More
people are holidaying locally more often, with customers replacing
long-haul trips with two and three day getaways locally and interstate,”
says Wood.
“Travel
plans that were once made months ahead are being made a matter of weeks or
even days from departure, a trend that lends itself to the short-term
booking service Wotif.com provides.”
Wood
believes Australian suppliers’ ability to withstand this period of
unease is testament to the strength of Australian product on offer.
“Our
hotels and resorts have responded to the challenge, providing travellers
with a wide-range of affordable rates and attractive holiday options on
our own shores.”
Wotif.com
sales in top five leisure regions (Dec 2002 – Jan 2003):
Hunter
Valley up 45%
Gold
Coast up 47%
Sunshine
Coast up 67%
NSW
South Coast up 32%
Yarra
Valley up 44%
Wotif.com
sales in top five leisure regions (Jan 2002 – Jan 2003):
Hunter
Valley up 69%
Gold
Coast up 57%
Sunshine
Coast up 77%
NSW
South Coast up 86%
Yarra
Valley up 91%
Visit the Website: Wotif.com : http://www.wotif.com

|